5 October › UEFA Nations League
Italy – Türkiye
5 October · 21:45 Istanbul · Week 4
Italy3–1FINAL · AI SAID 2–1
TürkiyeStadio Renato Dall'Ara · Referee: Szymon Marciniak
PICKS BY LEVEL
SafeHome or away1.1781%
BalancedOver 2.51.5367%
BoldOver 3.52.2541%
Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. Our record shows the misses too. Method ›
Full list and pre-match notifications in the app.
WHY
Italy scores 1.11 goals a match; Türkiye concedes 1.40. Most likely score 2-1 (10.0%), but no draw: 81%.
What the model looked at: Standings · form · goal patterns
ItalyTürkiye2.30 · expected goals · 1.00
HOW OFTEN THIS PERCENTAGE LANDS
we said80%
it was77%
How often the 11,539 picks we called 80% actually landed. Last 43 days.
Bold level and score odds
Open on this match because it is one of today's three free matches. Others need PRO.
MATCH RESULT PROBABILITIES
Italy winHome win
1.3866%DrawDraw
5.2519%Türkiye winAway win
7.0015%Odds are market data, shown for information only.
OTHER MARKETS
Over 0.5
1.0295%Over 1.5
1.1785%Home or draw
1.1285%Home · draw void
1.1481%Home over 1.5
1.4073%Goal in both halves
–65%RECENT RESULTS
Italy
Türkiye
Only matches from the last 30 days that we covered.
UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE