28 September › UEFA Nations League
Türkiye – Italy
28 September · 21:45 Istanbul · Week 2
Türkiye28 Sept
ItalyBursa Büyükşehir Stadyumu · Referee: Michael Oliver
PICKS BY LEVEL
SafeHome or away1.3078%
BalancedDraw or away1.4464%
BoldAway win2.7042%
Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. Our record shows the misses too. Method ›
WHY
Türkiye scores 1.20 goals a match; Italy concedes 0.96. Most likely score 1-2 (9.0%), but no draw: 78%.
What the model looked at: Recent matches · goal patterns
TürkiyeItaly1.40 · expected goals · 1.55
HOW OFTEN THIS PERCENTAGE LANDS
we said80%
it was77%
How often the 10,121 picks we called 80% actually landed. Last 35 days.
Bold level and score odds
Open on this match because it is one of today's three free matches. Others need PRO.
MATCH RESULT PROBABILITIES
Türkiye winHome win
2.6236%DrawDraw
3.4022%Italy winAway win
2.7042%Odds are market data, shown for information only.
OTHER MARKETS
Over 0.5
1.0494%Over 1.5
1.2081%Goal in both halves
–61%Home or draw
1.4458%Both score
1.5357%Over 2.5
1.7056%RECENT RESULTS
Only matches from the last 30 days that we covered.
UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE