Croatia – Spain

6 October · 21:45 Istanbul · Week 4

Croatia

1–2FINAL · AI SAID 1–2

Spain

Stadion Poljud · Referee: Erik Lambrechts

PICKS BY LEVEL

SafeAway · draw void1.1080%

BalancedOver 2.51.4070%

BoldHome over 1.54.0042%

Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. Our record shows the misses too. Method ›

WHY

Croatia scores 0.93 goals a match; Spain concedes 1.03. Most likely score 1-2 (9.0%), but with the draw void, Spain to win: 80%.

What the model looked at: Standings · form · goal patterns

CroatiaSpain1.19 · expected goals · 2.56

HOW OFTEN THIS PERCENTAGE LANDS

we said80%

it was77%

How often the 11,622 picks we called 80% actually landed. Last 44 days.

Open on this match because it is one of today's three free matches. Others need PRO.

MATCH RESULT PROBABILITIES

Croatia winHome win

8.0016%

DrawDraw

6.0018%

Spain winAway win

1.3066%

Odds are market data, shown for information only.

OTHER MARKETS

Over 0.5

1.0195%

Over 1.5

1.1285%

Draw or away

1.0884%

Away over 1.5

1.2882%

Home or away

1.1282%

Goal in both halves

–82%

Only matches from the last 30 days that we covered.

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