29 September › UEFA Nations League
Spain – Croatia
29 September · 21:45 Istanbul · Week 2
Spain29 Sept
CroatiaEstadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán · Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk
PICKS BY LEVEL
SafeOver 1.51.1480%
BalancedHome over 1.51.2870%
BoldBoth score2.1047%
Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. Our record shows the misses too. Method ›
WHY
Spain scores 1.60 goals a match; Croatia concedes 1.36. Most likely score 2-0 (12.0%), but the total to go over 1.5: 80%.
What the model looked at: Recent matches · goal patterns
SpainCroatia2.06 · expected goals · 0.79
HOW OFTEN THIS PERCENTAGE LANDS
we said80%
it was77%
How often the 10,121 picks we called 80% actually landed. Last 35 days.
Bold level and score odds
Open on this match because it is one of today's three free matches. Others need PRO.
MATCH RESULT PROBABILITIES
Spain winHome win
1.2068%DrawDraw
7.5016%Croatia winAway win
11.0015%Odds are market data, shown for information only.
OTHER MARKETS
Over 0.5
1.0294%Home or draw
1.0585%Home or away
1.1084%Home · draw void
1.0682%Goal in both halves
–59%Over 2.5
1.5054%RECENT RESULTS
Only matches from the last 30 days that we covered.
UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE