France – Italy

2 October · 21:45 Istanbul · Week 3

France

1–1FINAL · AI SAID 2–0

Italy

Stade de France · Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano

PICKS BY LEVEL

SafeHome · draw void1.1879%

BalancedHome win1.4570%

BoldOver 3.52.1036%

Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. Our record shows the misses too. Method ›

Full list and pre-match notifications in the app.

WHY

France scores 1.76 goals a match; Italy concedes 0.72. Most likely score 2-0 (11.0%), but with the draw void, France to win: 79%.

What the model looked at: Recent matches · goal patterns

FranceItaly2.22 · expected goals · 0.93

HOW OFTEN THIS PERCENTAGE LANDS

we said80%

it was77%

How often the 10,564 picks we called 80% actually landed. Last 40 days.

Open on this match because it is one of today's three free matches. Others need PRO.

MATCH RESULT PROBABILITIES

France winHome win

1.4570%

DrawDraw

4.7512%

Italy winAway win

5.7519%

Odds are market data, shown for information only.

OTHER MARKETS

Over 0.5

1.0295%

Home or away

1.1789%

Over 1.5

1.1483%

Home or draw

1.1482%

Both score

1.5764%

Over 2.5

1.4861%

Only matches from the last 30 days that we covered.

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