15 November › UEFA Nations League

Spain – England

15 November · 22:45 Istanbul · Week 6

Spain
15 Nov
England

Riyadh Air Metropolitano · Referee: Clement Turpin

MATCH PREVIEW

Spain beat Czech Republic 2–0 (12 Nov). Spain beat Croatia 2–1 (6 Oct). Spain beat Czechia 3–1 (3 Oct).

England beat Croatia 2–1 (12 Nov). England beat Czechia 3–0 (6 Oct). England beat Croatia 7–0 (3 Oct).

Last meeting in our record: England 2–3 Spain (26 Sept).

PICKS BY LEVEL
SafeHome or away1.2277%
BalancedOver 2.51.6272%
BoldHome win1.7039%

Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. Our record shows the misses too. Method ›

WHY

Spain scores 1.64 goals a match; England concedes 0.83. Predicted score 2-1 (7.0%), but no draw: 77%.

What the model looked at: Standings · goals scored and conceded

SpainEngland2.01 · expected goals · 1.99
HOW OFTEN THIS PERCENTAGE LANDS
we said75%
it was74%

How often the 22,478 picks we called 75% actually landed. Last 82 days.

Bold level and score odds

Open on this match because it is one of today's three free matches. Others need PRO.

MATCH RESULT PROBABILITIES
Spain winHome win
1.7039%
DrawDraw
4.2023%
England winAway win
4.2038%

Odds are market data, shown for information only.

OTHER MARKETS
Over 0.5
1.0395%
Over 1.5
1.1889%
Goal in both halves
–71%
Both score
1.6266%
Home or draw
1.2262%
Draw or away
2.1061%
RECENT RESULTS

Spain

5 W · 0 D · 0 L · Goals 14–5
Both score 4/5 · Over 2.5 4/5 · Clean sheets 1/5

England

4 W · 0 D · 1 L · Goals 16–4
Both score 2/5 · Over 2.5 4/5 · Clean sheets 3/5

  • 12 Nov England 2–1 Croatia ✓ Home winW
  • 6 Oct England 3–0 Czechia ✓ Home over 1.5W
  • 3 Oct Croatia 0–7 England ✓ Away · draw voidW
  • 29 Sept Czechia 0–2 England ✓ Away winW
  • 26 Sept England 2–3 Spain ✓ Draw or awayL

Only matches from the last 60 days that we covered. ✓ / ✗: whether our Safe pick for that match landed.

UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE

UEFA Nations League page ›