14 November › UEFA Nations League

Portugal – Denmark

14 November · 22:45 Istanbul · Week 5

Portugal
14 Nov
Denmark

Estádio Municipal de Braga · Referee: Rade Obrenovic

MATCH PREVIEW

Portugal beat Norway 2–1 (4 Oct). Portugal beat Denmark 4–2 (1 Oct). Portugal beat Norway 2–1 (27 Sept).

Denmark beat Wales 1–0 (4 Oct). Denmark lost 2–4 to Portugal (1 Oct). Denmark beat Wales 2–0 (27 Sept).

Last meeting in our record: Denmark 2–4 Portugal (1 Oct).

PICKS BY LEVEL
SafeHome or away1.1879%
BalancedHome over 1.51.4469%
BoldDraw or away2.5040%

Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. Our record shows the misses too. Method ›

WHY

Portugal scores 1.36 goals a match; Denmark concedes 1.18. Predicted score 2-1 (10.0%), but no draw: 79%.

What the model looked at: Standings · goals scored and conceded

PortugalDenmark2.28 · expected goals · 1.22
HOW OFTEN THIS PERCENTAGE LANDS
we said80%
it was78%

How often the 21,068 picks we called 80% actually landed. Last 82 days.

Bold level and score odds

Open on this match because it is one of today's three free matches. Others need PRO.

MATCH RESULT PROBABILITIES
Portugal winHome win
1.5060%
DrawDraw
4.7521%
Denmark winAway win
5.7519%

Odds are market data, shown for information only.

OTHER MARKETS
Over 0.5
1.0295%
Over 1.5
1.1487%
Home or draw
1.1481%
Home · draw void
1.2076%
Goal in both halves
–69%
Over 2.5
1.5069%
RECENT RESULTS

Portugal

4 W · 0 D · 0 L · Goals 9–4
Both score 3/4 · Over 2.5 3/4 · Clean sheets 1/4

  • 4 Oct Portugal 2–1 Norway ✓ Home or awayW
  • 1 Oct Denmark 2–4 Portugal ✓ Home or awayW
  • 27 Sept Norway 1–2 Portugal ✓ Over 1.5W
  • 24 Sept Portugal 1–0 Wales ✓ Home · draw voidW

Denmark

2 W · 0 D · 2 L · Goals 7–7
Both score 2/4 · Over 2.5 2/4 · Clean sheets 2/4

  • 4 Oct Wales 0–1 Denmark ✓ Home or awayW
  • 1 Oct Denmark 2–4 Portugal ✓ Home or awayL
  • 27 Sept Denmark 2–0 Wales ✓ Home · draw voidW
  • 24 Sept Norway 3–2 Denmark ✓ Home or awayL

Only matches from the last 60 days that we covered. ✓ / ✗: whether our Safe pick for that match landed.

UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE

UEFA Nations League page ›