13 November › UEFA Nations League

Netherlands – Greece

13 November · 22:45 Istanbul · Week 5

Netherlands
13 Nov
Greece

Johan Cruijff Arena · Referee: Rohit Saggi

MATCH PREVIEW

Netherlands beat Serbia 2–1 (4 Oct). Netherlands drew 2–2 with Greece (1 Oct). Netherlands beat Serbia 2–1 (27 Sept).

Greece drew 0–0 with Germany (4 Oct). Greece drew 2–2 with Netherlands (1 Oct). Greece beat Germany 1–0 (27 Sept).

Last meeting in our record: Greece 2–2 Netherlands (1 Oct).

PICKS BY LEVEL
SafeOver 1.51.1879%
BalancedHome · draw void1.2267%
BoldHome over 1.51.5344%

Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. Our record shows the misses too. Method ›

WHY

Netherlands scores 1.19 goals a match; Greece concedes 0.83. Predicted score 1-0 (10.0%), but the total to go over 1.5: 79%.

What the model looked at: Standings · goals scored and conceded

NetherlandsGreece1.69 · expected goals · 1.11
HOW OFTEN THIS PERCENTAGE LANDS
we said80%
it was78%

How often the 20,968 picks we called 80% actually landed. Last 81 days.

Bold level and score odds

Open on this match because it is one of today's three free matches. Others need PRO.

MATCH RESULT PROBABILITIES
Netherlands winHome win
1.5750%
DrawDraw
4.3325%
Greece winAway win
5.2525%

Odds are market data, shown for information only.

OTHER MARKETS
Over 0.5
1.0394%
Home or draw
1.1475%
Home or away
1.2075%
Both score
1.6756%
Goal in both halves
–56%
Over 2.5
1.6253%
RECENT RESULTS

Netherlands

2 W · 2 D · 0 L · Goals 7–5
Both score 4/4 · Over 2.5 3/4 · Clean sheets 0/4

  • 4 Oct Netherlands 2–1 Serbia ✓ Home or awayW
  • 1 Oct Greece 2–2 Netherlands ✗ Home or awayD
  • 27 Sept Serbia 1–2 Netherlands ✓ Away · draw voidW
  • 24 Sept Netherlands 1–1 Germany ✗ Home or awayD

Greece

2 W · 2 D · 0 L · Goals 5–3
Both score 2/4 · Over 2.5 2/4 · Clean sheets 2/4

  • 4 Oct Greece 0–0 Germany ✗ Over 1.5D
  • 1 Oct Greece 2–2 Netherlands ✗ Home or awayD
  • 27 Sept Germany 0–1 Greece ✗ Home · draw voidW
  • 24 Sept Serbia 1–2 Greece ✓ Over 1.5W

Only matches from the last 60 days that we covered. ✓ / ✗: whether our Safe pick for that match landed.

UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE

UEFA Nations League page ›