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13 November › Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Morocco – Niger

13 November · 23:00 Istanbul · Week 3

Morocco
13 Nov
Niger
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MATCH PREVIEW

Morocco beat Lesotho 2–0 (29 Sept). Morocco beat Gabon 2–0 (25 Sept).

Niger lost 1–2 to Algeria (6 Oct). Niger lost 0–2 to Gabon (29 Sept). Niger beat Lesotho 2–1 (25 Sept).

PICKS BY LEVEL
SafeOver 1.5–77%
BoldBoth score2.9443%

Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. Our record shows the misses too. Method ›

WHY

Morocco scores 1.33 goals a match; Niger concedes 1.07. Predicted score 2-0 (17.0%), but the total to go over 1.5: 77%.

What the model looked at: Last 10 matches · team strength rating

MoroccoNiger2.20 · expected goals · 0.45
HOW OFTEN THIS PERCENTAGE LANDS
we said75%
it was74%

How often the 22,314 picks we called 75% actually landed. Last 80 days.

Bold level and score odds

Open on this match because it is one of today's three free matches. Others need PRO.

MATCH RESULT PROBABILITIES
Morocco winHome win
1.0180%
DrawDraw
9.7512%
Niger winAway win
17.009%

Odds are market data, shown for information only.

OTHER MARKETS
Over 0.5
–93%
Home or draw
–91%
Home · draw void
–90%
Home or away
–88%
Not both score
1.3357%
Home over 1.5
–57%
RECENT RESULTS

Morocco

2 W · 0 D · 0 L · Goals 4–0
Both score 0/2 · Over 2.5 0/2 · Clean sheets 2/2

  • 29 Sept Lesotho 0–2 Morocco ✓ Over 1.5W
  • 25 Sept Morocco 2–0 Gabon ✓ Over 1.5W

Niger

1 W · 0 D · 2 L · Goals 3–5
Both score 2/3 · Over 2.5 2/3 · Clean sheets 0/3

  • 6 Oct Algeria 2–1 Niger ✓ Home · draw voidL
  • 29 Sept Gabon 2–0 Niger ✓ Home or awayL
  • 25 Sept Niger 2–1 Lesotho ✓ Home · draw voidW

Only matches from the last 60 days that we covered. ✓ / ✗: whether our Safe pick for that match landed.

AFRICA CUP OF NATIONS - QUALIFICATION

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification page ›